“The image of the official Tatarstan has won at the moment, but the Tatars have lost. “The image of the official Tatarstan has won at the moment, but the Tatars have lost Creation of a bot for arbitration on crypto exchanges

Yesterday, the MICEX index closed the day with a "top" - in our case, this is a consolidation figure in the ongoing flat trend. The MICEX index once again tested its near support 2085 (2087 at the time of the finish and in the morning) from which it bounced up and again moved to its highs. Here we are waiting for continued growth. The nearest targets are 2107 and 2112, the main one is still 2135. Cancellation of the scenario - a breakdown with a retest of the current support. In this case, the market will receive the first signal for a reversal and move towards its main supports located in the cluster zone 2071-2075.

The market situation looks moderately positive:

CP is slowly growing in its upward flat with local supports at 2557 and 2553. Local targets here are still 2565 and 2573. In case of loss of support at 2553, the decline in the future may increase to 2538 and 2527.

The euro-dollar slightly fell short of its first target of 1.171 and went into a rebound, where it tested the previously broken lower limit of the local apchannel 1.18 (1.1813 at the time of the finish), from which it has so far rebounded, which, again, so far, confirms the direction down. Targets below 1.172 and 1.164 in case of breakdown. Cancellation of the scenario - breakdown of both boundaries of the local upchannel (1.1818 and 1.186). In this case, we can assume that the pair has completed its correction from annual highs and is ready to update them.

Gold updated its local level and reached the lower target 1281 (at 1279 in the morning), from where it rolled back, but could not break through the upper limit of the local downchannel 1288 (at 1287 in the morning), which so far speaks in favor of another break, however, if it goes above the upper border, we get a signal for a reversal and continued growth with local targets 1300 and 1316.

Oil reached its local highs in the 58.4-58.6 zone, however, in anticipation of the statistics, it did not dare to go through them and chatted nearby all day, testing in between cases, local support 57.8 (57.7 in the morning) from which it was able to fight off , which confirms the growth movement, however, the main signal is still a fixation above the annual high of 58.6 (not to be confused with a puncture, after which there is usually a correction or a reversal). Today we are waiting for an attempt to gain a foothold above 58.6. If successful, the growth in black gold will continue with the targets of 59.5 and 61.5 in case of breakdown.

The dollar-ruble bounced off the support of 57.2, which casts doubt on the continuation of the decline, but the signal for continued growth is still a breakdown of the 57.5 mark (57.57 in the morning). If successful, we expect continued growth with the targets of 57.9 and 58.4. The rebound from resistance can be sold with the targets of 57.2 and 56.8.

By industry:

The banking sector broke through its support at 5720 (5730 in the morning), however, it could not stand the retest from above and again returned higher, closing it tested the level from above. Today we are waiting for the development of the level. You can buy a rebound with the targets of 7620 and 7750, sell a breakdown with the targets of 7500 and 7450.

The oil price came out of its flat trend and was able to regain one of the supports (zone 5050-5055). The sector closed, testing it from above. Today we are waiting for the level to be worked out: we buy a rebound with the targets of 5120 and 5210. We sell a breakdown with a retest with the targets of 5030 and 5000.

Metallurgists moved up from their support at 5780 (5790 in the morning). Here we are waiting for continued growth with the targets of 5890 and 5960. Cancellation of the scenario - a breakdown with a retest of the current support. In this case, the decline in the sector will continue with the targets of 5740 and 5720, while the first signal for a reversal will be received.

Energy from the opening broke through its cluster support zone of 1975-1983 and even successfully tested the 1975 mark from below. But then it found the strength to return above the support zone and closed, testing the upper level from above. Here we are also waiting for the level to be worked out: we buy a rebound in order to test the previously broken support in 2015, a rebound from where it can lead to a new wave of decline. We sell the breakdown with the targets of 1960 and 1930, while receiving the main signal for the end of the growth.

Telecoms continue to hang out sideways. The main support has pulled up to the level of 1785, where we are waiting for the sector. Cancellation of the scenario - breakdown and retest from above the 1825 mark - this will give a signal for continued growth with the main target so far - 1900.

Bottom line: we are waiting for continued growth. Confirmation - breakout of 2102. Otherwise, the market will again test its current support, which this time may not be able to resist.

    be logged in at the moment- — [Intent] Themes automated systems EN be logged on …

    moment- a, m. moment it. moment, pol. moment. lat. momentum time, period; short time, moment 1. About an event simultaneous to the act of speech. All ministers generally look at their profits, and they have no reasoning about state interest, and ... ... Historical Dictionary of Gallicisms of the Russian Language

    - (lat. momentum). Moment, moment. Dictionary of foreign words included in the Russian language. Chudinov A.N., 1910. MOMENT 1) (in mechanics) the product of the force on the arms of the lever to which it is applied; 2) an infinitesimal part of the time. Dictionary… … Dictionary of foreign words of the Russian language

    CURRENT, current, current (book). 1. incl. action present temp. against leakage1 in all values. (except 2). 2. trans. Present, real, available at this particular time. 10th of the current month. In the current year. This moment. 3. trans. Everyday… Explanatory Dictionary of Ushakov

    MOMENT, moment, m. [Latin. momentum]. 1. The shortest period of time, a moment, a moment. At one moment. At an opportune, opportune moment. || what. A moment, a moment, a time when it is carried out, some kind of n. action. Shot moment. In the moment… … Explanatory Dictionary of Ushakov

    current exchange rate- Currency exchange rate for making an immediate exchange, the current interest rate or price. Topics accounting EN spot rate … Technical Translator's Handbook

    MOMENT, ah, husband. 1. A moment, a moment, a short time, in which something happens. Make in one m. (quickly). Miss the desired m. Auspicious m. At this m. (currently). At the same m. as ... or when ... (just then). Now the most m. ... ... Explanatory dictionary of Ozhegov

    Exist., m., use. very often Morphology: (no) what? moment, why? moment, (see) what? moment what? moment about what? about the moment; pl. what? moments, (no) what? moments for what? moments, (see) what? moments what? moments about what? about moments 1.… … Dictionary of Dmitriev

    App., use. comp. often 1. Current refers to what is happening at the present time or refers to the present. Current news. | current expenses. | At the moment, his life is going well. | I will keep you updated on current… … Dictionary of Dmitriev

Such strong faith in the dynamics of the growth of the world economy, when it enters the second half of 2017, this point has been reached in the economic cycle, when data that does not meet expectations is dismissed as an aberration.

For example, US purchasing managers' indices were weaker than anyone surveyed by Reuters had predicted, but the market paid little attention to this. "The path is below expectations, but let's not worry," said the mantra.

This economic panglossianism - all the best of the best of all worlds - is based on what seems to be the view of the majority among politicians and economists, that the world is experiencing significant growth.

“Faster growth this year reflects a synchronous improvement in both advanced economies market economy, and in emerging markets,” said Brian Coulton, chief economist at Fitch Ratings, forecasting 2017 to see the world's fastest growth of 2.9 percent since 2010.

Backing up that view, central banks in the US, the Eurozone and the UK are leaning towards tightening, albeit with a cacophony of mixed signals about when.

Financial markets are currently estimating a 90 percent chance of a rate hike in the Eurozone by next July, for example, to go along with the Federal Reserve's continued upward trend.

However, there are some uncomfortable trends that will need to be addressed in the second half of the year.

First, there have been some signs of a downturn in economic activity, while inflation has for the most part remained stubbornly unconcerned about the massive monetary stimulus thrown at it.

The Citi Economic Surprise Index, which moves in tandem with poor data or undervalued expectations, has tumbled across major industrial nations this year and is at negative levels not seen since 2011.

Gross domestic product in the US is currently growing, but the pace has been slower in each of the last two quarters, down to 1.4 percent in January-March.

The Atlanta Fed report says growth will rebound in the second quarter, but as a result of stronger domestic sales as a reflection of cheap money offsetting sluggish investment in equipment and inventory.

Orders for durable goods have fallen sharply, and job growth has slowed, according to the latest data.

In the Eurozone, the overall picture is relatively positive, with a current growth rate of 1.9 percent year on year - but there are problems, for example, in Italy, the bloc's third-largest economy. And while deflation may end, inflation is still below target.

Unemployment is lower but still above 9 percent (twice as high for youth), consumer spending is declining, and growth wages obstinately slow.

Meanwhile, China has avoided the slowdown that some feared. Indeed, production in June grew the fastest in just three months.

But the official crackdown on over-indebtedness and shadow banking was enough of a risk to economic stability to make the central bank cautious about taking further action, especially ahead of this year's CPC convention.

In Japan, the government has improved its overall assessment of the economy due to rising private consumption. But recent data show that retail sales are growing slower than expected, with sales of durable goods and apparel slowing down.

Britain, facing a huge unknown exit from the European Union, is setting an example for itself, with consumer confidence plummeting.

Examination

None of this means that world economy not in good condition, and with (non-British) consumer and business confidence generally growing.

There are "mixed signals," David Folkerts-Landau, chief economist at the Deutsche Bank Group, writes to Deutsche Bank clients, but they reflect "weakening marginal momentum, but still robust."

But there is enough uncertainty for the Bank for International Settlements - the central banker's banker - to warn of risks ahead from a pivotal financial cycle, runaway household debt and low productivity growth, among others.

They are difficult to trace, but there will be a series of data checks next week.

The final Purchasing Managers' Indexes and their equivalents, such as Japan's Tankan, will show whether growth in manufacturing and services supports expectations or lends itself to a mild slowdown.

Germany, France and the UK will also release their latest industrial output data.

Finally, at the end of the week there will be data on US non-farm payrolls for June. The number of new jobs is expected to rise from May, but will still reflect a much lower rate of job creation than at the start of the year.

In addition to this data, there will be conversations. A group of 20 countries meet in Berlin at the end of the week - seeking their union with US President Donald Trump to keep things moving into the second half of the year and beyond.

Yesterday, the MICEX index closed the day with a black candle. Support 2287 (at 2290 in the morning) held at the close, but the fact of its breakdown speaks more in favor of continuing the decline with the targets of 2266, 2245 and 2235 - the last supports in this cycle of growth. Departure lower would mean a trip to 2170. If the levels are held, growth may resume with targets at 2330, 2340 and 2385.

The situation in the morning looks negative (although the basis of the negative here is mostly new sanctions)

CP took a timeout for growth and corrected all day. Here we are waiting for the end of the correction and the last upward jerk with the targets of 2274 and 2280, after which we are waiting for a more serious correction or even a reversal. Supports pulled up to the level of 2840, forming a cluster level, the breakdown of which is better to sell with the targets of 2823, 2804 and 2775.

The euro-dollar is once again testing the broken lower boundary of the consolidation (1.162 in the morning) and is fighting back for now, which leaves a scenario with a continuation of the decline with the goal of 1.131 on the stage. Cancellation of the scenario is a breakdown of the upper boundary of the consolidation (in the morning - 1.1712). In this case, the pair may turn up with the targets of 1.175, 1.186 and 1.204.

Gold continues to hang out sideways. Here we are still waiting for the exit from it down and finishing to the main target - 1190, from where we can turn up.

Oil could not continue to grow and fell down, breaking through control support and slowing down at the next closest one - 71.8 (71.7 in the morning), from where it is still rolling back. However, after the rollback, the decline is most likely to continue, or at least one more wave to break with the targets of 71.7 or 70.2. It is difficult to say what the purpose of the pullback is, but most likely it will be a breakout to the resistance of 72.95.

The dollar-ruble broke through its resistance at 63.55 and fulfilled all its targets, including the last 65.55 - the upper limit of the consolidation of recent months, where it closed. Today we are waiting for the level to be worked out: we sell a rebound with the targets of 64.65, 64.25 and 63. We buy a breakdown with a retest again with the targets of 67, 69.6 and 80.6.

By industry:

The banking sector continued to fall and fulfilled both of its targets, rebounding from the last -6490. Here, the continuation of the rollback with the targets of 6545 and 6615 is likely. In this case, we are waiting for the continuation of the fall with the targets of 6390 and 6295.

The oil market went into a correction, but closed on local highs, so continued growth is still possible here, although it is on its last legs, which must be taken into account. The target has risen to the level of 6630, where it is worth selling and even shorting. Downward targets lie at 6385 and 6210.

Metallurgists went into correction without reaching their resistance (at 5935 in the morning), but by the close they won back most of it, which so far speaks more in favor of continuing growth and finishing up to the level. Next, we look at its development: we sell the rebound with the targets of 5760 and 5690, we buy a breakdown with a retest with the targets of 6085 and 6170.

Energy continued to fall, breaking through its first support in 1762 (on the morning of 1758) and a little short of the second -1735. Today we are waiting for a rebound to 1735 and working out the level: we buy a rebound with the targets of 1758, 1782 and 1800, we sell the breakdown again with the target of 1686.

Telecoms seem to have decided on the direction and moved down. We are waiting for the sector according to our targets: 1707 and 1656. Cancellation of the scenario - a breakdown of the resistance of 1761 with a retest from above, in this case, the growth may last up to the level of 1845.

Bottom line: we are waiting for attempts to continue the decline. The purposes and conditions for cancellation are set out above.

To the attention of those interested: the video of the last seminar is finally ready. For purchase inquiries please email [email protected]
Visitors to the seminar do not need to twitch - it should already be sent out.

I have not written anything about the current situation for a long time, although this is definitely necessary both for myself and for investors. Below I will provide information on all aspects of my activities within the framework of this blog.

Old Hibrumix accounts and Lazarus accounts

Major headache. Accounts that went into a drawdown from hybrumix in the first half of the year fell into a deep drawdown of non-toxic Lazarus, which formed starting from the second half of the year. This situation was quite probable, but I hoped that it would carry over. But it didn't. Non-toxic systems can go into a drawdown for quite a long time, which I wrote about in detail in an article about. Murphy's unfailing law worked: "Anything that can go wrong, goes wrong."

As a result, the drawdown has only increased since May, which puts a lot of pressure on everyone psychologically. I am sure that Anton will soon publish an article on the situation with the Lazar trading system.

Hibrumix MAM account on Valuetrades

The Hibrumix MAM account on Valuetrades did not sink as much as the others, since from the beginning of August it was transferred to x0.5 risks due to the reduction of leverage by the regulator. It is difficult to call this an achievement, but the situation on these charts is slightly better, although the potential time for their exit from the final drawdown is even longer.

HRM3050 accounts with Alpari and IceFX

My trading system is HRM3050, which is a direct continuation of the system, but with significantly reduced risks (and hence the target profitability) and with tight stops attached to each trading system used. Since August, about 5% has been earned, which is slightly less than the target yield, but on the whole it is quite within the normal range under not the most favorable conditions. I position the system as quite conservative, the main goal of which is to ensure a relatively high investment comfort, so that the account mainly either updates the highs and investors have the opportunity to withdraw profit regularly, or in the case of relatively unfavorable conditions, the account would simply “stagnate”, but not go into any significant drawdown

Further development of HRM3050 accounts in trade plan, as well as their promotion among investors, I see as my main activity.

HRM3050 MAM account on Valutrades

Due to the fact that there was an investor who wanted to invest in HRM3050 on the Valutrades site, now the HRM3050 MAM account has also been launched on the Valutrades site. Let me remind you that this is a British platform and for retail clients the leverage is limited to 1:30. Taking into account the extremely low risks of the HRM3050 system and the low leverage used, trading under such harsh conditions from the regulator is quite real. At the same time, all the "goodies" of trading in the British jurisdiction are preserved: insurance from the regulator in the amount of 50,000 pounds and deposit / withdrawal without commission, both using cards and using a currency bank transfer.

The only noticeable problem when investing through a MAM account is the relatively large minimum investment amount in order for transactions to be copied with a minimum lot. It is desirable to have $20,000, at least $10,000.

Completely non-toxic Impuls system on IceFX

A portfolio of non-toxic automated trading systems Impuls, which is launched on the IceFX platform. This portfolio now includes three trading systems:

  • my own impulse trading system Impuls trading on EURUSD;
  • breakout system using the belkaglazer.com robot with my original settings, in line with my philosophy of non-toxic trading. The system trades on EURUSD, USDJPY, XAUUSD pairs with the same settings;
  • impulse system using the belkaglazer.com robot also with my original settings. The system trades on the EURUSD pair;
  • another non-public robot that trades impulses on eurusd, but in a very specific way with a significant difference from the two previous impulse systems.

It would be necessary to find time and bring the tests of these robots into one, for the publication of a separate article. It is worth noting a couple of features that I put into the philosophy of this particular portfolio:

  • Each entry of any of the robots is duplicated by a series of transactions with different settings for exiting the market and profit-taking rules. Mostly, of course, this is a different set of take profits and stop losses, but there are also settings for the time windows of positions.
  • the take profit level is significantly higher than the stop loss level, at least 2 times. On average, the difference is about 2.5.
  • Entry into the market is realized only with significant movements, which can be caused mainly by fundamental factors. These are either very powerful impulses, or breakdowns of really significant and confirmed levels.

I plan to develop this own portfolio of non-toxic systems both separately and as a small part of the HRM3050 portfolio.

The plans are to open acceptance of investments in this account in IceFX and open a PAMM account with this system in Alpari.

Creation of a bot for arbitration on crypto exchanges

I also wrote a simple bot in Excel that arbitrates on the DSX exchange and on the Binance exchange for the ETHBTC pair. It turned out that even with such a narrow choice (one pair and two exchanges), arbitrage is quite real, although of course there is no need to talk about any extra profits. Now I am adding a universal algorithm implemented in the console application written in visula studio for arbitrage using a large number of exchanges, while the truth is on minimal volumes in order to collect statistics on the frequency of arbitrage windows, their direction and volume on the crosses of the main coins: cue ball, ether, ripple, litecoin.

All calculations show that when high turnover is reached and, as a result, the commission is reduced by exchanges, arbitrage is quite real. True, it is not yet clear how much fiat equivalent funds need to be used in order to generate sufficient turnover to significantly reduce the commission by exchanges.

Definitely an interesting experience.

Blogging

I have to admit that I am depressed by a series of failures this year, namely:

  • the January drawdown of the hybrumies accounts (the drawdown of which should not have happened at all);
  • fixing the loss in May and stopping trading on hybrumix accounts (the main position, on which critical damage was received, did not reach take profit by 5 points);
  • bad time to start trading system Lazarus (just a bad moment to start).

In the end, I let down my investors and myself. In addition, I cannot offer any "quick" solution, simply because there are no "correct quick solutions".

It all to a certain extent presses and interferes with blogging. I'm not talking about writing funny and sarcastic posts, which distinguished the blog in its heyday.

On the other hand, a lot of work has been done, there is a huge amount of directly tested trading developments, as well as a separate infrastructure for controlling the synchronous functioning of all accounts and robots. Therefore, it is not correct to say that I start everything from scratch. No, not from scratch. But to some extent from the beginning.

Loading...Loading...